The two census tracts that make up Shore Acres are predominantly white, and the median household income is higher than St. Residents got a hint of the threat when Tropical Storm Eta pushed high water onto more than half of those properties in 2020. In Shore Acres, four places of worship, a school and more than 3,000 single-family homes are vulnerable to Category 1 hurricane surge. Could flood in Category 1 hurricane: 98 percent.But dwelling on a Hollywood doomsday obscures threats that residents are more likely to encounter and could more reasonably prepare for. With potential surge cresting 20 feet, a big storm would no doubt be devastating. Fascination turns on an imagined Category 5 laying waste to cities. The region’s vulnerability has drawn national headlines. Faulty maps, complicated science and outdated mindsets instill a false sense of security. The threat is greater because too few people comprehend it. The perilous position is a matter of both geography and explosive development. Tampa Bay is more vulnerable to less intense hurricanes than anywhere else in the state. He fears the kind of storm that would not faze plenty of locals but could be just as devastating: “A big, sloppy Category 1 or 2.” It’s not a Michael,” said Jamie Rhome, storm surge specialist at the National Hurricane Center. “What's going to be the Achilles' heel of Tampa, what is going to really surprise Tampa, is not a Cat 5. Waves and wind pummeled the town until all that remained in some spots was rubble atop a checkerboard of concrete slabs.įor those in its path, the Category 5 was a once-in-a-lifetime monster, the “perfect storm.” In Tampa Bay, pictures of panoramic destruction were another far-off reminder of what could happen here. When Hurricane Michael slammed into Florida's Panhandle in 2018, the flood in Mexico Beach rose 14 feet.
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